Role of Ocean Heat Content in the Rapid Intensification of Cyclone Amphan (2020) over the Bay of Bengal

Role of Ocean Heat Content in the Rapid Intensification of Cyclone Amphan (2020) over the Bay of Bengal Author:Kritajno Bhattacharya Abstract   A major forecasting challenge in the North Indian Ocean is the rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones, especially in the Bay of Bengal, where coastal communities are extremely vulnerable. The main indicator of cyclone intensification has historically been sea surface temperature (SST). Since it captures the total thermal energy available for cyclone growth outside of the surface layer, subsurface ocean heat content (OHC) has lately been acknowledged as a more accurate metric. This study examines how OHC contributed to Super Cyclonic Storm Amphan's (2020) quick intensification over the Bay of Bengal.We'll examine the atmospheric and oceanic factors that contributed to Amphan's abrupt intensification using Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential datasets, in-situ Argo float observations, and best-track records from the India Meteorol...

Northern India’s 2025 Floods: When Monsoon Surprises Turn Deadly

Northern India’s 2025 Floods: When Monsoon Surprises Turn Deadly

Written by: Kritajno Bhattacharya 

Northern India has faced unusually heavy rainfall in 2025, with several states experiencing flooding not seen in over a decade.
From Delhi to Uttarakhand, overflowing rivers and landslides are causing major disruptions in daily life.
Understanding these extreme rainfall events is crucial for preparing for a future of climate uncertainty.

Despite 2025 not being as hot as 2024, the monsoon had its own surprises in store. Some of the highest rainfall in 14 years was seen in northern India with regions in Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, and Delhi seeing significantly above average rain. The Yamuna River in Delhi crossed its danger level, and evacuations were undertaken with the city’s flood control mechanisms also under pressure.

These flood events are not just numbers, they directly impacting millions. Watershed streets, halted transport, ruined crops, and landslides are the daily fare of residents. Emergency responders are stretched thin, and local authorities are racing to deliver temporary shelter, safe drinking water, and medical care to impacted populations

So why is northern India experiencing these high-intensity floods all of a sudden? The reasons are multi-layered:
1. Changing Monsoon Patterns: The southwest monsoon’s withdrawal in 2025 has been delayed in some regions. This has prolonged rainfall, turning what would normally be a steady seasonal pattern into a series of heavy, concentrated downpours.


2. Regional Rainfall Disparities: While much of India saw above-normal rainfall, some regions in the east and northeast were drier than usual. This uneven distribution stresses water management systems and highlights vulnerabilities in flood-prone areas.


3. Climate Change Amplification: Rising global temperatures increase the atmosphere’s moisture-holding capacity. This can lead to more intense rainfall over short periods, even if the total monsoon season rainfall isn’t drastically higher.


4. Urbanization and Land Use: Cities like Delhi are particularly vulnerable because concrete surfaces prevent natural drainage, rivers are encroached upon, and natural water bodies are shrinking. Rain that would have been absorbed into the soil quickly becomes floodwater, overwhelming infrastructure.


The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has been closely tracking these events and warning about them, but mere preliminary warnings are not sufficient. Citizens require available evacuation plans, efficient drainage, and public awareness programs to minimize threats. Combining meteorological information with urban planning is essential to prepare for these intense events.
These floods are a wake-up call. Although climatic variability has been an integral part of the weather in India, urbanization, population growth, and climate change raise the stakes. For the residents, planners, and policymakers, first and foremost, it is necessary to understand the science behind the floods in order to be better prepared.

The 2025 floods of Northern India might recede within the coming weeks, but the lessons they impart are permanent. Monitoring, early warning, infrastructure robustness, and public awareness are no longer discretionary they are the keys to survival and success in a world of ever-more extreme weather.

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